No Tribe can Defeat a State.. The State’ Breath is long and Nothing is more Victorious than Victory

In the past, during the era of the Salvation Government, in a large session , one of the governors spoke, whom we refer to here as (the wise) or (the sad) because his talk was full of wisdom and sorrow, as he talked about his people who possessed weapons, money, trade and influence, then got involved in the conflict with the state under one pretext or another, so their unity was dispersed.

The wise man continued to describe his group, how they were and how they became after the war, and what harm, ruin and clear loss befell them because of their war against the state, and how their power was broken or their money was wasted and their prestige was taken away because of that.

The man concluded his talk by saying that his people, in the past, if they gathered for a joyful or unpleasant occasion, had prestige and an overwhelming presence with their money and luxurious cars, but today they appear miserable and stingy.

This brings us back to the story of the rebellion against the State, not only in Sudan but in all the troubled African countries where the State is still not fully fledged.

The State, any State, has a long breath and the only way to undermine it is to take it by surprise or to overthrow it. If the conflict turns into a marathon, the state is the one that wins the lap.

Therefore, Boko Haram did not succeed in undermining the State in Nigeria, nor the Lord’s Resistance Army in Uganda, nor the youth in Somalia, nor the Tuareg in Mali, nor the Masaya in Kenya, nor the Arabs of the Sahara in Niger, nor the Rapid Support Forces RSF in Sudan, nor the Hutus in Rwanda.

This claim is not based on wishful thinking but on the facts of history. George Washington, the military commander of the American Army of Independence who became President of America after the war, summarizes the idea of ​​prolonging the duration of the war by saying: “The longer you extend the period of victory, the inevitable end will be that the enemy will declare his loss of the war.” George Washington said this after the defeat of the American army he led in the Battle of Brooklyn and was forced to withdraw to Manhattan by boat, which saved the Continental Army from being captured.

Military analyst Adam Tom says in the same vein, “An army can lose battles, but its continuation will in any case make it achieve victory.”

This is what is happening now in Sudan in the treacherous war. The longer it lasts, the more the rebels lose the momentum of the beginnings and lose the results of their tactical victories (the primitive blunder) during which they enter cities with a limited number of cars and fighters and carry out looting and theft, then wait for the hammer of fate, which is inconsistent with the laws of war and the rules of intelligent engagement in advancing or retreating and controlling.

Notice at first the supportive position of the rebellion from neighboring countries, then the great retreat from these in the face of the steadfastness of the state that they thought would collapse from the first moment, and as the thinker Howard Wallace says, nothing succeeds more than success, so Abiy Ahmed came to the State whose legitimacy he doubted, broken-hearted, where political romanticism was manifested in the way of reception, planting trees, and the presidential retreat, and Kaka, Tutu, and other (Baptists) will retreat unwillingly.

The title of this article is not directed against a specific tribe, but rather an affirmation of a historical fact that was manifested in the political and historical harvest of many peoples in which tribal fanaticism emerged into the space of power, glowing to establish the kingdom and ignite conflicts before the rise of the modern State that overthrew tribalism or clipped its nails.

Ibn Khaldun says, “There is no strong rule without tribalism.” In the past, the sultanate was based on tribal tribalism, which according to Ibn Khaldun means “strong ties between members of the tribe or social group, which arise from kinship and common loyalty.

This tribalism gives the tribe strength and cohesion that allows it to overcome other tribes or groups.”

Assemblies have changed over time, and ideological, religious, and capitalist tribalism have deepened, and they are the pillars of various types of systems today in the world. The tribe is no longer considered except as a primitive means of pressure for short-sighted factional demands.

Now that the war is over, any tribe must stop blackmailing the State and the social contract of the post-war State must be free of any hint or privileges for any marginalized or non-marginalized group, as Rwanda did, so that there will be no more deceivers who exploit the tribe as a hunting dog to prey on their own interests against society, knowing that no matter how much the tribes arm themselves, claim, rant and rave and arm themselves, there is no “tribe that can defeat a state” whose fate will be the fate of the tribe of (Al-Hakim) that became weak and weak and its unity was dispersed, or the fate of the tribes that are now burning in the fire that you ignited.