IMF Raises Growth Forecasts for Sudan’s Economy in 2025 and 2026
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its projections for Sudan’s economic growth, painting a more optimistic outlook for the post-war years. The new forecast assumes that the ongoing conflict will end by late 2025, paving the way for a swift reconstruction phase.
According to the latest figures, the IMF expects Sudan’s economy to contract by 23.4% in 2024, maintaining its previous estimate amid the ongoing war that has devastated productive sectors and crippled economic activity.
However, the outlook for 2025 shows a notable improvement, with projections shifting from a 0.4% contraction to 3.2% growth, reflecting expectations of gradual stabilization and an improved business environment following the cessation of hostilities.
For 2026, the IMF has raised its forecast from 8.8% to 9.5% growth, anticipating a strong economic rebound driven by reconstruction efforts and the revival of key sectors such as agriculture, gold, oil, and infrastructure.
IMF experts emphasized that these projections hinge on the end of the armed conflict and the establishment of a stable political phase that enables the inflow of foreign investment and international aid, alongside the adoption of reforms to restore confidence in the national economy.
This update comes as Sudan faces one of the most severe economic and humanitarian crises in its modern history, with millions displaced and widespread destruction of infrastructure. International financial institutions are counting on the post-war period to mark the beginning of a new path toward growth and sustainable development.
