After assigning to hold a meeting between Burhan and Hemedti Has Museveni taken off the cloak of hostility towards Sudan?
The Sudanese public opinion has become convinced that the decision of the African Union (AU )represented by the Peace and Security Council, to assign Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni to head a committee to organize a meeting between Burhan and Hemedti is in fact a recycling of ideas that were tried and failed, and it is a case of expressing (a blank head) within the corridors of the African Union AU and an admission of the weakness of the capabilities of those who manage its files.
Report – Amir Abdel Majid
A Status of Hostility:
The appointment of the Ugandan president, who is known for his hostility to the political regimes in Sudan, is in fact an expression of a status of despair, because Museveni entered into hostility with most of the political regimes in Sudan and fought proxy wars against some of them. He played a major role in separating South Sudan from its north and in making his country a platform for providing logistical and financial support to many movements that rebelled against the central authority in Khartoum.
He was also the first president that Hemeti met in his first appearance in its modified version after his disappearance for many months during the battles and talk of his injury and death.
Does Museveni have anything new to offer that might contribute to stopping the war? Does he originally have good relations that would allow him to overcome the obstacles of the Jeddah platform and jump over them to organize a meeting between Burhan and Hemeti, a meeting that was proposed before and failed, and Museveni was a witness to the details because Hemeti, who apologized for the meeting at the time, appeared at Museveni’s farm at the announced time for the meeting.
The question comes to mind: What do the African Union AU and the Peace Council expect? And why did he choose Museveni to head a committee of It is supposed to be neutral and seeks to bring together the head of the Sudanese Sovereignty Council (TSC )and the rebel Hemeti? Does Museveni expect the army to respond to his call and on what is he basing it? Then who is Museveni and what are his positions against Sudan since he took power? Supporting the opposition
The answer to these questions puts us directly in front of the African decision that many people thought was not in line with reality because Yoweri Museveni, who was born on August 15, 1944 in the town of Ntonkamo in southwestern Uganda and who assumed power on January 29, 1986, continued to view northern Sudan as a hostile state based on reasons that he kept repeating to his guests, whoever they were, during the war in the south, namely that his support for John Garang and the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement ( SPLM) was due to Khartoum’s support for the Lord’s Resistance Army led by James Kony and to help the southerners liberate Sudan from Arab colonialism.
This attitude is not an attitude specific to Museveni alone, as the Ugandan ruler who Museveni overthrew, Nino Oklo, had been a supporter of John Garang’s army since the eighties, and when Museveni overthrew him and seized power, he continued to support Garang and expanded the support, which eventually led to diplomatic relations between Sudan and Uganda in 1995. Relations remained tense until the two parties signed a security agreement mediated by the United States that stipulated that no one would be supported.
The two countries were in opposition to the armed opposition in the other country, and relations expanded after that at the IGAD summit held in Khartoum in 2001 by exchanging ambassadors and opening embassies, but relations returned to a crisis again in 2010 when Uganda renewed its accusation against Sudan of supporting the Lord’s Resistance Army, and the complications of the Nile water issue increased by holding Nile water conference in Uganda, where the Entebbe Agreement was signed, and Sudan was not a party to it due to its non-recognition of the agreement.
In the same year, a conference was held to review the International Criminal Court’s decision to arrest Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir, which was held in Kampala, where the Ugandan government issued a decision not to invite President Omar al-Bashir to attend the African summit on its territory before gathering the Darfur movements with other opposition forces and making them sign what was called at the time the Kampala Document or the New Dawn in 2013.
The Ugandan intelligence man was known for his keen interest in protecting his interests to the point that he sent his forces in 2013 to the new state of South Sudan to help his ally Salva Kiir against the forces of Riek Machar, whom he saw as a friend. James Kony and Omar al-Bashir on that day Museveni’s forces bombed and invaded the cities and villages of the south and killed thousands amidst the silence of the government there, which saw what Museveni did as helping it to stay in power, while Museveni saw that he was helping himself first and helping his ally, and then the same thing is not strange to him, as he had previously provoked many wars in Somalia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, the Central African Republic (CAR )Rwanda and others. So will Museveni resolve the crises as a mediator between the Sudanese?
Deepening Disagreements
Dr. Osama Hanafi, Professor of Political Science at the University of Sudan, says that the African Union AU is no longer a reliable mediator, and I believe that its role in Sudan has diminished due to its insistence on freezing Sudan’s membership, which has almost put it outside the Sudanese arena.
Therefore, its appointment of the committee or issuance of decisions does not usually go beyond saying that they are present and they are here because the war raging now has louder cannons than the voice of the African Union.
He added, “We cannot rely on figures such as the Kenyan, Ugandan or Ethiopian presidents to resolve differences in Sudan because they are part of the dispute and part of the crisis and they are in fact allies of the Rapid Support RSF Militia .
I believe that the time of Sudan accepting mediation by countries involved in the conflict is over.” He said, “We accepted Kenya’s mediation before, and it supports Garang’s movement, so what happened?” He continued, “We accepted mediation and negotiations in countries that were incubators of rebellion in Ethiopia, South Sudan, Chad and Nigeria, all of which deepened the differences instead of resolving them.”
For his part, military expert, retired Brig. Gen. Asad al-Din Mohamed al-Fatih, affirmed that the SAF will not go to meet Hemeti in Kampala, and said, “In general, I do not know how the African Union and Museveni will deal with Burhan if he goes to meet someone who claims to be the late Hemeti and discovers that he is a fake copy.
Will they convince him to sign with him just to stop the war and that they sought his help to stop the war or what?” He continued, “I do not think that the African Union AU itself is serious about organizing the meeting because it knows that Burhan will not remain silent about the fake copy of Hemeti and knows that the man’s going there is surrounded by many matters that neither Sudan nor Burhan will accept.”