Opinion

Negotiation Scenarios

Rashan Oshi
The events of April 15 proved that our country spent no less than five years of chaos and blatant lies, which cost us lives and money, and destroyed our infrastructure and social fabric, under flimsy slogans.
During the couple months of the war, while the militia was at the height of its strength, thousands of fighters, thousands of combat vehicles, weapons and ammunition were abundantly available, and at the same time the SAF was in an unenviable attitude , and the shock robbed everyone of its minds, the great generals (Maj. Gen. Abu Bakr Faqiri), an expert in negotiation and international law, (Lt.Gen. Mahjoub Bushra), the alert mind, and their war chiefs succeeded in reaching the (plea agreement), which the militias signed in Jeddah, May 2023.
The other absurdity, throughout the past years, is what we see now in the conflict following the war in Sudan, where it has been proven to us that there is no national political powers that resists aggression with its people, does not have the courage to stick to one attitude and cannot present a national speech, but some political leaders tried to seize the opportunity to gain spoils, such as the party leader who left Cairo for Port Sudan demanding to be granted the position of Prime Minister, and when the leadership refused on the pretext that it cannot ally with a political party and grant it the right to form a government without the participation of others, his attitude changed to the complete opposite, after he was one of the godfathers of the “No, but” speech, he transformed by magic into a “dove of peace”.
The assassination attempt of “Burhan” by militia marches in “Jebeit” area affirms that the militias have nothing to do with the value of peace, and that “Hemedti” is not a man of peace, nor is America US actually capable of achieving peace, as killing for “Daglo family ” is easier than signing a peace agreement, and planning to kill is easier for them than peace negotiations. As for the United States US , it is certain that it cannot change the equation of war to peace in Sudan, but its basic ability is to exert media and political pressure, and seize opportunities to achieve gains for itself, and not to confront the “Hemedti” militias, and if it succeeds in pressuring the Sudanese regime to sit down and negotiate, that will not change anything in the balance of power and the equations of war, and the same applies to the leadership of the militia that went to war without considering the consequences.
So, what is happening? The short answer is that America is in a predicament, as Sudan’s move to ally with the Russians again, similar to a previous experience, was a great humiliation for a regime that claims to be the superpower, and the Russian-Sudanese alliance made the United States US tremble like autumn leaves.
The SAF  and its commandment will not sign a peace agreement in the concept of “Hemedti” and his partners and supporters, even if they fight for a hundred years, whether they sit down to negotiate in Geneva or “Wag-Wag” they will not leave the station of the terms of the agreement of principles in “Jeddah” which stipulates the surrender of the militias. Al-Burhan will not give up the rights of the afflicted people, and will not accept the return of the militias and their leadership to the national political scene, particularly after he became the most courageous, wise and popular leader among the leaders of the resistance front in Sudan.
What is afforting is that the members of the negotiating delegation with the United States in Jeddah are figures who are trusted for their patriotism and negotiating capabilities, such as the Minister of Minerals, Mohamed Bashir Abu Namu, who was the chief negotiator of the Sudan Liberation Movement in Juba negotiations.
He has successful experiences and is known for his national positions and competence. As for Generals Bushra and Faqiri, their capabilities and national loyalty were discussed in the Agreement of Principles in Jeddah.
Any agreement signed with Daglo family will ill not achieve any results on the battlefield, because the militias are no longer what they were on April 15.
Kikil established his kingdom in Gezira and Sennar, and Jalha in Kordofan.
Daglo family as nothing left but Darfur, and this is also a common stage that the “armed struggle forces” compete with them on, which found their historic opportunity to take revenge.
The delegations will go to Jeddah and Geneva and return as if nothing had happened, because the matter is out of everyone’s hands, including the Sudanese army SAF , which knows for sure that it has no choice but to fight and liberate every inch of Sudanese territory , as the people will not accept “Daglo family ” in the joints of the state again.
Also, the “resistance” will not stop fighting in defense of land and honor.
My love and respect

Related Articles

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Back to top button