Beware, Wise Ones, and Know Your Enemy (1)

The Sudanese people must identify the primary and genuine stakeholder driving this war, understand their objectives, and uncover who financed it, provided political and media support, and took charge of its leadership—especially as they have witnessed the soldiers thrown into its flames.

Identifying the true stakeholder reveals Sudan’s real enemy, enabling the development of a military, political, media, and social strategy to confront them, thwarting their post-war plans—or even crushing them and their collaborators who carried out the schemes.

For the keen political observer, it’s clear that the planning for this war is not new. Its forms and tools—military, economic, and political—have varied over the past decades.

The enemy has employed phased tactics to mislead many observers and participants by fabricating justifications for the war that are far from its real objectives. Initially, the colonizers claimed they came to “develop these nations,” branding themselves as colonialists. Later, they introduced the rhetoric of “supporting the oppressed” whose rights had been stripped, despite having laid the foundation for this oppression through policies like the Closed Districts Ordinance, depriving regions of essential services and later exploiting their inhabitants for their agendas. They then popularized the concept of “marginalization,” fostering armed movements, recruiting supporters, and backing these plans with groups of collaborators who sold out their homeland for a pittance.

Some well-intentioned individuals fell for these schemes, genuinely believing in the existence of targeted oppression and marginalization. Their enthusiasm for these causes played directly into the hands of treacherous leaders adept at manipulating public sentiment for their ends. These leaders were given media platforms, funding for travel, workshops, and conferences, and access to international organizations and embassies to act out their assigned roles. They convinced others that certain tribes monopolized power or that specific ethnic groups controlled the country. To reinforce this narrative, they weaponized the media, saturating it with slogans, illusions, and promises of victory.

Many were swayed by these campaigns, tricked, and drawn into believing they had an internal enemy worth fighting. This deception extended to the armed groups themselves, who were led to believe in fabricated adversaries, making their combat seem justified and even obligatory. Through agents and collaborators, the true stakeholders turned these groups into tools and fuel for their destructive designs.

Understanding the true enemy is crucial for identifying their goals, methods, and collaborators. This knowledge allows for the use of appropriate strategies and tools for the battle, addressing the root causes rather than superficial symptoms. Defining objectives is the first step to success in any confrontation.

This war is not tribal; it is not a conflict between the Zaghawa and Misseriya on one side and the Sudanese people on the other, nor is it a battle between western tribes and those of the north.

The misconception of this war as tribal has spread because the stakeholders behind it sought to give it such an appearance by selecting specific executors and leaders and encouraging them to rally their tribal members as the core fighting force. Should we then succumb to the falsehood of labeling this war as tribal?

It is imperative to recognize that the ultimate goal of those who ignited and supported this war is to transform it into a prolonged tribal conflict, weakening the state, breaking its will, and dividing Sudan into easily digestible fragments.

Does the participation of Arab migrants from West and Central Africa indicate that the war is ethnic, aimed at reviving lost empires or restoring vanished power? If those rallying these groups were genuine in their claims, they would have begun by addressing their grievances and granting them rights in their home countries.

In truth, these groups have been manipulated, exploited, and trapped to serve as instruments in the hands of the true enemy—those seeking to tear Sudan apart and exploit its resources.

The war is not between western tribes and northern ones, even if the stakeholders attempt to color it as such. It is true that the rebel force (formerly known as the Rapid Support Forces) originated from the Border Guards, which were geographically and tribally specific. However, this does not make the conflict a tribal one. Their participation is the result of manipulation to serve others’ goals.

This war began decades ago, even before Sudan’s independence, when the colonizers realized that the people would no longer accept humiliation and subjugation. Their strategy evolved, adapting to each stage and donning the appropriate guise. This war is, in essence, a battle against those who aim to re-colonize Sudan, erase its identity, plunder its resources, and exploit its people. It is a war among global powers—America, France, China, Russia, and Germany—seeking to maintain spheres of influence. These powers may align temporarily but diverge when dividing the spoils. Each prioritizes its own interests, as evident in the current shifts across Africa, from Mali and Niger to Ghana and the political upheavals in Tunisia and Libya.

To disprove the claim of tribalism, let us ask ourselves: does the Zaghawa tribe have a specific grievance against the “Islamists”? If so, what is it, and since when? The enemies and their collaborators have successfully convinced some of the rebels’ rank-and-file that their fight is against the “Islamists.” Yet, I swear that most of them do not even understand the term but merely parrot it like parrots.

The forces spearheading this new colonial and cultural subjugation project are represented by a certain funding state and its hired agents. After their plans, implemented post-April 2019, began to unravel—alongside the failure of Volker’s UN mission and the international political support from the Quartet and Troika to install their chosen collaborators—they had no choice but to escalate.

Their final step was the coup of April 15, 2023. They had prepared everything for it: political statements, international recognition, financial support, and political backing from local agents. Confident in their plan, they underestimated the resilience of Sudan’s armed forces and the people’s resolve.

Despite attempts to corrupt Sudan’s youth with drugs and buy off community leaders with ill-gotten wealth, their plans failed spectacularly, thanks to divine intervention. The unity of Sudan’s people, young and old, shocked the world.

This plan, with all its apparent sophistication, was destined to fail. The real battle transcends geography, ethnicity, or tribal affiliations. It is a larger conspiracy, armed with every ingredient for success, yet thwarted by the will of a sovereign people under divine guidance.