Europeans Discuss Best Ways to Ensure Ukraine’s Security Without NATO Membership

The developments surrounding the Russian-Ukrainian war remain unclear, while communications are active and initiatives are being proposed, with everyone waiting for the return of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump to the White House and the potential shifts this could bring in Washington’s approach to the issue.

European leaders, particularly those in the Baltic states, Poland, and Romania—countries geographically closer to Russia—are the most concerned. They fear that the American reluctance might extend to EU member states, leading to a decrease in support for Ukraine. As a result, they will convene a summit in Brussels on December 19, 2023, dedicated to the Ukrainian situation, potential negotiations, and what role European countries can play if Trump decides to significantly reduce U.S. aid to Kyiv.

The sources in Paris suggest that it is still “premature” to talk about negotiations anytime soon, as they remain “hypothetical” and closer to “trial balloons.” It is no secret that Moscow is waiting for the possibility that a Trump administration will be more “lenient” and “understanding” of its demands, while also allowing more time to secure further control over eastern Ukraine.

The Kremlin highlighted Trump’s recent statement opposing the use of U.S. missiles to target Russian regions, aligning with their stance. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said, “Trump’s statement fully matches our position, and his view of the reasons behind the escalation aligns with ours… It’s clear that Trump understands what’s causing the situation to escalate.”

Since joining NATO is unlikely, Europeans are considering sending European forces to Ukraine “individually,” without NATO’s umbrella, although these countries are NATO members. However, this development would only occur after the war halts or a ceasefire is reached. French President Macron had proposed this idea in February but it was rejected by many countries, including Germany.