Al-Jazeera: Army Begins Bold and Strategic Assaults

It seems that the armed forces have started changing their strategies toward Al-Jazeera state, focusing on sudden strikes against the enemy, inflicting both human and material losses, then returning to their starting points.

This strategy was applied by the commander of the Sudan Shield, Abu Aqila Kikil, who boldly launched an operation early on Monday morning, advancing to the northeast of Al-Jazeera and reaching the city of Wad Rawah unexpectedly. During the operation, several militia members were killed or captured while they were asleep. Four combat vehicles were seized, and Kikil’s forces returned safely to their bases in the eastern part of Al-Jazeera.

The operation directly resulted in the killing and capture of over 50 militia members. Indirectly, it led to the deaths of dozens more militia members, as they were trying to reach Wad Rawah to counter Kikil’s narrative, but they came under airstrike fire. Less than half of the militia force reached Wad Rawah.

Effective Tactics: Military experts consider this tactic to be effective as it disrupts militia positioning within Al-Jazeera. The militia, accustomed to falling into such traps, had recently moved forces from the Um Qurra front to the Wad Rawah area. However, as the Fao Army moved toward Wad Madani on Monday, the militia realized the gravity of the situation. They neither succeeded in securing Wad Rawah nor in returning to resist the Fao Army. Experts expect the army to apply this tactic across Al-Jazeera to confuse and exhaust the militia before a full assault.

Field Developments: On the ground, the Fao Army took control of Al-Harqa and Al-Jumay’ab areas southeast of Wad Madani in Al-Jazeera state. Sources reported continued clashes along the eastern strip of Wad Madani. Resistance committees in Al-Shabariqa confirmed hearing sounds of fighting near a village east of the city, indicating the battle is close to Wad Madani. However, it remains unclear whether the army seized these areas as a strategic foothold or as part of a surprise assault, similar to Kikil’s operation in Wad Rawah, before returning to their bases.

Ground Control: Experts have warned about potential public frustration with the army’s approach of entering and withdrawing from regions after achieving their objectives. Security expert General Jalal Tawer previously advised social media activists to allow the army to follow its plans without exerting public pressure. He emphasized that the army knows when to use specific tactics, when to advance, and when to retreat. He pointed out that it is not logical for the army to explain each move or the reasons behind it. Tawer urged Sudanese citizens to trust their army and its leadership.

In a similar vein, experts warned against discouragement among Sudanese citizens upon seeing videos of militia members in areas the army entered and later withdrew from. They explained that when the army enters and exits a region, it has achieved its goal, and it is not always necessary to announce the objective. They cited the army’s entry into Wad Rawah and Al-Zarq base in North Darfur, where the army achieved its desired outcome 100%, without the need to publicly disclose the operation’s goals.

Full Assault: Experts anticipate that the army will soon launch a full-scale attack on the militia throughout Al-Jazeera state after accomplishing the objectives of these targeted incursions. Earlier on Monday, Colonel Rakin Al-Abadi Taher, commander of the Nabaa Yaqeen force in the Al-Khayari axis, threatened to sweep through Wad Madani from all directions soon, urging the militia to wait and not flee.

Military experts believe that the army’s impending assault on Wad Madani will face little resistance, due to the success of the targeted operations carried out by the army around Wad Madani, which eliminated hundreds of mercenaries and dozens of vehicles. This will likely result in the liberation of the capital of Al-Jazeera with fewer casualties than expected.