Plan (T): Encirclement (3)

As I See 

Adil Al-Baz

In the second part of this article, we discussed how the comprehensive encirclement plan aims to support the militia’s war effort in tightening the siege on Sudan. This is why the UAE rushed to strengthen its already existing relations with neighboring countries. We examined the first pillar of this plan, with Ethiopia being the fastest to establish its role in the encirclement strategy. In this article, we look at Chad’s position—how it was recruited to support the militias and became the primary base for launching their war against Sudan.

On October 11, 2023 (note the date), the Chadian Parliament approved a loan agreement from the UAE to Chad amounting to $700 million. According to a press release on the parliament’s website, the total loan amount reaches $700 million, with $50 million provided as a grant. The interest rate is set at 1% per year. The total financial support from the UAE to Chad in recent years amounts to $850 million, not $1.5 billion as some claim.

For this paltry sum, Mahamat Déby (Kaka) sold a long history of relations between N’Djamena and Khartoum. Not only that, but he also betrayed his own people, leaving them at the mercy of the Janjaweed, who massacre, displace, and shell them, creating rivers of blood that flow daily near Chad’s borders.

What did Chad do?

It opened its land and airspace to the Janjaweed and the UAE, allowing them to establish training camps, medical facilities, and military bases with airstrips for planes carrying weapons to kill Sudanese citizens.

It became a transit hub for Arab mercenaries and foreign fighters joining the Janjaweed.

It turned into a massive supply depot, providing food and medicine to the Janjaweed militias.

Finally, the aggression now directly originates from Chad, with large drones launched from its territory striking Omdurman.

In short, Chad has chosen to become Sudan’s number one enemy. One day, Chad will pay the price for this aggression.

Kaka has not read a single line in the history of Sudan-Chad relations. Had he done so, he would not have made these reckless mistakes. He will soon realize that Emirati money will neither benefit him nor secure his already unstable position. The dirty money he received in exchange for selling out his own people’s blood will ultimately land him in the most disgraceful pages of history. Through such bribery, the UAE has successfully enlisted the Chadian regime into the encirclement plan it has built around Sudan.

Central African Republic (CAR):

The UAE had no prior strategic interests in the Central African Republic. However, as the encirclement plan accelerated, it rushed to establish sudden ties with CAR’s government.

On March 6, 2025, a high-level Emirati delegation visited CAR and signed a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement. The news reported:

“Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, President of the UAE, and President Faustin-Archange Touadéra of the Central African Republic witnessed the signing of several agreements and memorandums of understanding between the two countries.”

Bin Zayed stated:
“The economic partnership agreement between the UAE and the Central African Republic opens new avenues for cooperation.”

It is worth noting that non-oil trade between the UAE and CAR reached approximately $252 million in 2024, marking a 75% growth compared to the previous year.

What does the UAE want in return?

Opening CAR’s borders for mercenaries and arms shipments to the militias.

Providing military bases for UAE aircraft, which operate non-stop to smuggle gold from the Songo region to Wagner-controlled bases on the border.

Despite its fragile political and military situation, CAR has agreed to play this despicable role. The day will come when it pays the price for conspiring against Sudan.

Uganda:

On June 21, 2024, Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni’s office announced that Uganda had signed an agreement with a UAE business association to build a new international airport.

This will be Uganda’s third international airport, further expanding the UAE’s economic presence beyond renewable energy, oil, and gas. According to a statement from Museveni’s office, the Sharjah Chamber of Commerce and Industry will oversee the airport’s construction in northeastern Uganda, near the border with Kenya.

Why was Uganda recruited into the encirclement strategy?

1. Creating a logistical hub: Uganda will provide back-up bases for neighboring encirclement states, assisting with military supplies and establishing remote airstrips.

2. Smuggling arms: Uganda will serve as another entry point for weapons, making it harder to track the UAE’s continuous arms flow to the militias.

3. Political operations: Kampala will be used as a second political hub after Nairobi, facilitating militia and opposition movements.

South Sudan:

South Sudan has had a series of failed dealings with the UAE. However, President Salva Kiir’s government has not learned from past experiences and remains oblivious to how the UAE has manipulated fragile states.

The South Sudanese government has repeatedly pursued UAE investments in an oil pipeline and refineries. After wasting tens of millions of dollars, the UAE abruptly abandoned its investment plans.

Once again, Juba sought a loan from Abu Dhabi, but the UAE imposed outrageous conditions, which South Sudan’s Council of Ministers rejected.

Eventually, the UAE agreed to lend South Sudan a staggering €12 billion ($12.9 billion), to be repaid in oil—one of the largest oil-for-cash deals in history. The loan’s value is nearly double South Sudan’s entire GDP.

But what did the UAE get in return?

South Sudan’s role in the encirclement plan is the most blatant of all the involved nations:

Recruiting mercenaries: The South Sudanese government is facilitating the recruitment of foreign fighters for the Janjaweed.

Full access for militia operations: South Sudan’s territory is now wide open for Janjaweed training camps, arms trafficking, and militia movements.

Safe haven for retreating militias: The country has become a refuge for Janjaweed forces withdrawing from battle.

Military and medical support: South Sudan provides hospitals for Janjaweed fighters and serves as a key supply hub for food, weapons, and logistics.

Soon, the town of Aweil will host the first Janjaweed-run “cover hospital”, effectively turning it into a second “Um Jaras”—the infamous Chadian base for Sudanese militia operations.

This is South Sudan’s role in the encirclement plan. But as the Quran says:
“Indeed, God does not guide the schemes of traitorous brethren.”

Fittingly, South Sudan’s own White Army rebels have now taken over Nasir and continue their advance on multiple fronts. God has preoccupied our enemies with their own destruction.

The Next Question:

What are the chances of this encirclement plan succeeding?

We will continue in the next installment.