{"id":39765,"date":"2024-12-31T01:51:57","date_gmt":"2024-12-30T22:51:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/?p=39765"},"modified":"2024-12-31T01:51:57","modified_gmt":"2024-12-30T22:51:57","slug":"hemettis-latest-moves-1-2-shifting-pressure-to-kenya","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/2024\/12\/31\/hemettis-latest-moves-1-2-shifting-pressure-to-kenya\/","title":{"rendered":"Hemetti\u2019s Latest Moves (1-2): Shifting Pressure to Kenya?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"m#msg-a:r-3180153352552482084\" class=\"mail-message expanded\">\n<div class=\"mail-message-header spacer\"><strong>Dr. Ibrahim Al-Siddiq Ali<\/strong><\/div>\n<div id=\"m#msg-a:r-3180153352552482084-content\" class=\"mail-message-content collapsible zoom-normal mail-show-images \">\n<div class=\"clear\">\n<div dir=\"auto\">\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Two weeks ago, platforms affiliated with the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) militia promoted a press conference in Nairobi, Kenya, sparking rumors that the militia\u2019s leader, Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (Hemetti), would be the keynote speaker. However, the conference, held on November 18, 2024, took place without Hemetti, leaving no lasting impact.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">The speculation wasn\u2019t baseless, as Hemetti was reportedly seen in Kenya during that period. The conference presented an opportunity to shift the militia\u2019s geopolitical and public image, transferring regional and international pressures to a new area and expanding the militia&#8217;s footprint. Kenya is a strategically appealing choice for three key reasons:<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">1. Strong Connections: Hemetti shares a close relationship with Kenyan Prime Minister William Ruto, reportedly built on corrupt financial dealings that helped Ruto ascend to power. Additionally, Ruto has been linked to dubious gold smuggling operations involving Sudan. His infamous arrival in Sudan on a private jet remains widely known.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">2. A Safe Haven for Allies: Kenya provides a secure space for key RSF figures to convene, many of whom are internationally wanted and unable to travel freely beyond the region (notably Hemetti, Abdul Rahim, and Al-Quni).<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">3. A Hub of Global Influence: Kenya serves as a media center for Africa and hosts numerous international organizations, large corporations, and complex networks. For a figure fighting to stay relevant, this makes Kenya an ideal staging ground.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Supporting this theory is Abdul Rahim Dagalo\u2019s recent visit to Kenya, during which he met with Prime Minister Ruto. Reports also indicate a meeting with South Sudanese President Salva Kiir. According to Al-Sharq News on November 6, 2024, \u201cKenyan President William Ruto, accompanied by Abdul Rahim Dagalo, the deputy leader of the RSF, arrived in Juba to meet with South Sudanese President Salva Kiir to discuss various issues.\u201d<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">South Sudanese media, however, only reported Ruto\u2019s arrival, describing it as a one-day official visit with no mention of Abdul Rahim. Regardless, the visit aimed to solidify regional influence. Around the same time, a UAE delegation visited the region, underscoring its strategic importance.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Hemetti\u2019s attempts to step out of Abu Dhabi\u2019s shadow may also be motivated by a need to regain control over the RSF\u2019s political and military decisions. In recent months, Abdul Rahim Dagalo has taken a more prominent role, sidelining Hemetti\u2019s allies, including his political advisor, Youssef Ezzat. Abdul Rahim has even established a political coordination office in Kampala, Uganda, which offers easy access via South Sudan by air or road.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">This shift has angered some factions but strengthened ties with the political movement \u201cTagadam,\u201d whose rhetoric has increasingly aligned with the RSF\u2019s agenda. Tagadam has also been vocally supportive of the RSF, even framing events like the so-called \u201ccivil administration\u201d as democratic progress, despite the RSF\u2019s notorious record.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Hemetti now appears to be entirely sidelined. His last significant statement on battlefield developments came on February 10, 2024, when he claimed \u201cimportant victories in Al-Muhandiseen and Babnusa\u201d and promised a \u201cclean sweep.\u201d In reality, RSF forces suffered severe defeats in those areas. Similarly, Hemetti\u2019s October 9, 2024, address, following losses in Jabal Moyah, was seen as an attempt to reassert his presence and pressure Egypt\u2014a strategy reportedly advised by Tagadam but one that ultimately failed.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Is the RSF\u2019s leadership shifting its operations from Abu Dhabi to Africa\u2019s heartlands? In my opinion, the answer is yes.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Could the RSF, under the Dagalo family\u2019s leadership, transition from a militia of ambition to a political tool? Again, I believe the answer is yes. With military victory no longer achievable, the only viable path left is to secure whatever political gains remain\u2014a mission Tagadam seems determined to achieve.<\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\"><\/div>\n<div dir=\"auto\">Hemetti is now a fragmented figure, leading a splintered entity desperately searching for stability. (To be continued\u2026)<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dr. Ibrahim Al-Siddiq Ali Two weeks ago, platforms affiliated with the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) militia promoted a press conference in Nairobi, Kenya, sparking rumors that the militia\u2019s leader, Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo (Hemetti), would be the keynote speaker. However, the conference, held on November 18, 2024, took place without Hemetti, leaving no lasting impact. The &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":36113,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39765","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39765","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=39765"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39765\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39766,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39765\/revisions\/39766"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/36113"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=39765"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=39765"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=39765"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}