{"id":51725,"date":"2025-07-21T21:02:24","date_gmt":"2025-07-21T18:02:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/?p=51725"},"modified":"2025-07-21T21:02:49","modified_gmt":"2025-07-21T18:02:49","slug":"sudans-dayton-a-roadmap-to-imposed-peace-1-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/2025\/07\/21\/sudans-dayton-a-roadmap-to-imposed-peace-1-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Sudan\u2019s Dayton: A Roadmap to Imposed Peace? (1\/2)"},"content":{"rendered":"

As I See<\/strong><\/p>\n

Adil El-Baz<\/strong><\/p>\n

1
\nHave you followed how the Quartet\u2019s half-baked plan stumbled from the very beginning? The Quartet has now become a Sextet, after Qatar and the UK were added the day before yesterday under Saudi pressure.
\nWhat are we talking about? Ah yes, I forgot \u2014 we are not fully conscious or politically healthy; we are still in a coma, and the noise over forming a government sounds exactly like a bunch of confused roosters… crowing with no clear purpose!
\nSo, what\u2019s the story?
\nThere are movements and arrangements happening behind the scenes, scenarios are being crafted \u2014 yet here, people remain distracted and absent from the battlefield: no political activity, no diplomatic campaigns, no one raising public awareness about the unfolding scenarios!
\nDo you know how many delegations have visited Sudan secretly in the past two weeks alone? How many envoys arrived in Port Sudan under cover of night and left hastily?
\nToday, a decisive battle is being waged in Port Sudan \u2014 not with weapons, but with scenarios written in Washington.
\nTo all those sleeping on the soft pillows of deep negligence\u2026 Peace.
\nHere\u2019s what happened and what\u2019s expected:<\/p>\n

2
\nOn June 3, representatives from Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE met with U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau and Senior Advisor for African Affairs, Mossad Boulos.
\nThis step launched a new Trump administration initiative to end the conflict in Sudan.
\nThe meeting gave the “Quartet” great momentum, followed by a visit by Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi to Abu Dhabi to meet UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed, for further coordination.
\nThat\u2019s when the Quartet’s wheel began to turn.<\/p>\n

3
\nYesterday, July 20, 2025, Mossad Boulos \u2014 the U.S. Special Presidential Envoy for African Affairs \u2014 confirmed on Al Jazeera that:<\/p>\n

“There is no military solution to this conflict. A peaceful resolution must be reached.”
\nHe added that the U.S., with support from President Donald Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, is playing a key role in cooperation with brothers and partners in the Sudan Quartet: Saudi Arabia, UAE, Egypt, and the United States.
\nBoulos also said Washington expects \u201cpositive developments soon,\u201d praising Saudi-led initiatives \u2014 particularly the Jeddah platform \u2014 and confirmed that the U.S. is fully cooperating with them.<\/p>\n

4
\nThese are the statements from U.S. officials who are leading a path of peace by coercion in Sudan!
\nWhat is the roadmap they are following?
\nIt\u2019s a plan cooked up at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy \u2014 a think tank producing strategic research for U.S. and regional policymakers.
\nThe institute was founded in 1985 by a group of Americans including Barbi Weinberg, Martin Indyk, and later joined by Condoleezza Rice, supported by AIPAC (the pro-Israel lobbying group).
\nIncidentally, the UAE also established another similar institute in Washington, run by Abdul Bari and Al-Nour Hamad, with the same goals and perspectives.
\nThe Washington Institute published a report on July 2, 2025, titled:
\n\u201cTo Solve the Conflict in Sudan, Combine the Jeddah and Quartet Tracks: U.S., Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE\u201d
\nIt\u2019s worth noting that the Quartet meeting was initially set for July 20, but was postponed to July 29, 2025, in Washington.
\nThe report reinforces and justifies the Quartet’s intervention in Sudan. But why?
\nAccording to the report, the four countries have a shared and urgent interest in confronting the regional security consequences of ongoing conflict in Sudan \u2014 including mass displacement, arms trafficking, rising terrorism, the spillover of violence to the Sahel and Great Lakes, and the reemergence of the former regime and ideological Islamists.
\nOn another note, the report says the Quartet shares Washington\u2019s concern over Russia and Iran exploiting the vacuum left by institutional collapse in Sudan to expand their security and economic presence, through local proxies or direct agreements.
\nThese, then, are the justifications the Jewish-run Washington Institute presents for Quartet involvement in Sudan.
\nThis consensus among the four states forms a solid diplomatic base for joint action, as the report puts it.<\/p>\n

5
\nIf the above reasons are the basis for Quartet intervention, then what\u2019s the path to resolution?
\nThe report proposes merging the Jeddah and Quartet tracks. It notes the Jeddah platform began in May 2023 as indirect negotiations focused on humanitarian issues.
\nAlthough lacking enforcement mechanisms, it still enjoys legitimacy and acceptance by the Sudanese military.
\nIt also states that the Geneva initiative, launched by U.S. envoy Tom Perriello in late 2024, failed because the Sudanese army refused to participate \u2014 especially due to UAE involvement.
\nGeneva, it argues, suffers from geographical and political distance from the stakeholders, while Jeddah is closer in both senses. The Quartet, meanwhile, has the political clout to enforce commitments.
\nTherefore, the report suggests that merging the two would produce a hybrid formula \u2014 combining local legitimacy with international pressure.
\nBased on that, the report offers four recommendations \u2014 the same ones being carried now by delegations to Port Sudan to convince the leadership. U.S. envoy Mossad Boulos is promoting them. They are:<\/p>\n

Joint Political Declaration: The Quartet, African Union, and IGAD issue a joint statement recognizing Jeddah as the sole umbrella for resolving the conflict.<\/p>\n

Unified Administrative Body: Establish an executive secretariat in Jeddah comprising the Quartet, UN, AU, and Sudanese civil society representatives.<\/p>\n

Binding Legal Legitimacy: Convert the Jeddah declaration into a binding political agreement through a UN Security Council resolution, with UN envoy Ramtane Lamamra coordinating and planning.<\/p>\n

Civil Society Integration: Genuinely include tribal leaders, minorities, and NGOs to prevent militarization or hijacking of the process by external agents.<\/p>\n

6
\nThese are the recommendations \u2014 and they reflect the features of a settlement they seek to impose, much like the 1994 Dayton Agreement, where the U.S. imposed peace in Bosnia through a combination of military force, diplomatic coercion, and control of the negotiation process.
\nThe Dayton model has since become a textbook example of how to impose peace \u2014 not through traditional mediation, but through pressure and force.
\nSo are we now facing a \u201cSudanese Dayton\u201d?
\nOr will the Quartet\u2019s plan fail like previous platforms before it?
\nThey are now trying to impose a modified Dayton model, and multiple scenarios are being prepared accordingly \u2014 which we\u2019ll explore in the next part!<\/p>\n

Note:
\nDo these recommendations and that report remind you of the “Pathway to National Dialogue in Sudan” paper issued by the United States Institute of Peace (USIP) back on August 13, 2013?
\nIt was written by Princeton N. Lyman and Jon Temin, calling for a Sudanese-led national dialogue.
\nSame structure, same resemblance…
\nThat paper, and the ideas it contained, ultimately led to Sudan\u2019s division.
\nIronically, it also came from Washington, and it was intense U.S. diplomatic and political pressure that led to the Comprehensive Peace Agreement.<\/p>\n

To be continued…<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

As I See Adil El-Baz 1 Have you followed how the Quartet\u2019s half-baked plan stumbled from the very beginning? The Quartet has now become a Sextet, after Qatar and the UK were added the day before yesterday under Saudi pressure. What are we talking about? Ah yes, I forgot \u2014 we are not fully conscious …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8232,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-51725","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51725","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51725"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51725\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51726,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51725\/revisions\/51726"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8232"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51725"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51725"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51725"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}