{"id":58613,"date":"2025-12-13T23:17:32","date_gmt":"2025-12-13T20:17:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/?p=58613"},"modified":"2025-12-13T23:17:32","modified_gmt":"2025-12-13T20:17:32","slug":"fear-and-money-are-the-militias-governing-equations-beginning-to-collapse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/2025\/12\/13\/fear-and-money-are-the-militias-governing-equations-beginning-to-collapse\/","title":{"rendered":"Fear and Money: Are the Militia\u2019s Governing Equations Beginning to Collapse?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Report \u2013 Sudan Events<\/strong><\/p>\n

Sources in Nyala say that the liquidity crisis gripping the city may have pushed it beyond control, amid ongoing sporadic clashes whose objectives residents do not fully understand. The continuous sound of gunfire and explosions echoes across the city\u2014an unfamiliar reality for a place long ruled by fear. In Nyala, even a mere comment can cost someone their life, or the lives of their entire family. There is no room for speech; silence has long been the only official voice of the population.<\/p>\n

This remained the case until the recent outbreak of events. Even now, the only voices being heard are those of the warring parties themselves\u2014members of the militia exchanging accusations. In a twist of bitter irony, the faction that once held power now labels the other as \u201crebels,\u201d while the faction newly branded as such\u2014already in rebellion against the Sudanese state\u2014believes it has been stripped of its rights, neglected, and left to die, while aircraft transported members of the Mahariya tribe abroad for medical treatment.<\/p>\n

Accusations have even reached Abdelrahim himself. These fighters widely believe that one of his close associates, a militia officer, received their salaries\u2014allegedly delivered by plane from the United Arab Emirates\u2014but failed to distribute them. They claim the officer embezzled the funds with Abdelrahim\u2019s knowledge. The threats issued against both men, including vows to kill them, reveal the extent of confusion and disarray within the militia, as well as the growing loss of control it is experiencing.<\/p>\n

That such accusations are now voiced openly in the streets, and that fighters are publicly denouncing their own commanders, points to a system on the verge of collapse. Distrust has reached the point where armed combatants threaten their leaders with death, accusing them of stealing salaries and abandoning the wounded without treatment. This is an extremely dangerous development\u2014especially as it unfolds in Nyala, the city the militia chose as its capital.<\/p>\n

The emergence of armed fighters confronting one another and openly declaring that salaries sent from the UAE were looted signals the erosion of the militia\u2019s governing formula\u2014one built on money and fear. The militia is known for liquidating dissenters, even from within its own ranks. Numerous incidents attest to this, including the pursuit of a defector into Chad, where he was killed in front of his family on his wedding day.<\/p>\n

The militia has long pursued and executed escapees, entrenching fear within its ranks, while spreading terror among civilians through killing, public humiliation, looting, and rape. It also coerced tribal leaders, using fear and money to mobilize young men and push them into its fighting ranks. These two elements\u2014fear and money\u2014have been the pillars upon which the militia exercised control over its environment.<\/p>\n

Many observers now believe this equation is beginning to unravel in Nyala, as fighters and wounded personnel openly challenge the militia\u2019s authority and level direct accusations of stealing their money\u2014charges to which the militia has so far offered no response. To date, it has not paid the salaries of thousands of its fighters, having previously disbursed wages to only a small fraction of them. This raises a critical question: is the militia\u2019s governing formula collapsing?<\/p>\n

Retired Colonel Siddiq Surkatti believes it is too early to pass judgment on the militia\u2019s overall control and leadership based solely on what is happening in Nyala and a few other areas. He noted: \u201cIt is true that the militia rules through fear and money, and this equation cannot be relied upon indefinitely\u2014it is limited. When people begin to rebel against it, it will not hold. However, the militia still possesses capabilities that should not be underestimated. These include tribal loyalties\u2014there are tribes that cannot turn back halfway, as they now stand at the mouth of the cannon\u2014as well as regional backing that provides mercenary fighters, and the continued flow of money from the UAE. The situation is not simple; it is extremely complex. But the concentration of military operations, finances, and leadership in the hands of one man is more dangerous to the militia than all the threats we have discussed. The militia is effectively under the command of Abdelrahim, who controls all its levers. This is extremely risky for it, and what we are saying now will become clearer later, when supply lines stretch apart, are severed, and ground-level communication becomes difficult.\u201d<\/p>\n

For his part, retired Major General Salah Mohamed Khaled said that the expected movement of the army this week will bring matters to a head, as the militia will be forced to redeploy its forces to combat zones, leaving its rear exposed\u2014especially after the strikes that targeted its training centers and weapons depots. \u201cThis will compel the militia to cover long distances to supply its fighters,\u201d he said, \u201cexposing it to severe attrition, draining its resources, and opening existing gaps\u2014then widening them.\u201d<\/p>\n

He added: \u201cThe strategic patience exercised toward the militia has created vulnerabilities. The time has come to exploit and penetrate them, because\u2014as we have always said\u2014time is not on its side.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Report \u2013 Sudan Events Sources in Nyala say that the liquidity crisis gripping the city may have pushed it beyond control, amid ongoing sporadic clashes whose objectives residents do not fully understand. The continuous sound of gunfire and explosions echoes across the city\u2014an unfamiliar reality for a place long ruled by fear. In Nyala, even …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":50919,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-58613","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-reports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58613","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=58613"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58613\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":58614,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58613\/revisions\/58614"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50919"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=58613"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=58613"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/sudanevents.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=58613"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}