Opinion

Oil and Electricity in Exchange for Surrender!! (2/2)

As I see

Adil El-Baz

 

1.

When anti-aircraft guns lit up the skies of Port Sudan last night against enemy drones, the heavens resounded with the cheers of men and the ululations of women. This people is truly astonishing. The more they are scorched by the fire of petty tyrants, the more united and resilient they become. And whenever those tyrants try to break them, they only grow stronger, chanting “Allahu Akbar” and rejoicing—because this nation is mightier and greater than the enemy could have imagined!
2.

The brilliant Dr. Amjad Farid wrote an article yesterday that will remain timeless: “Sudan, Anthem of the Unyielding and the Unsubmissive.” In it, he wrote:
“We shall walk the paths of love for this land to the very end. Your drones, your rockets, your legions of mercenaries, and your conspiracies will not break us. Your agents will not defeat us. We shall not yield to the logic of brute force, nor cower before your tyranny. Our flag will remain high and proud in our skies. Our freedom is worth any sacrifice. Our love for this land burns brightly in our hearts, and we shall pass it down, generation after generation.”
3.

In the previous part of this article, we saw how the UAE, through its militias, rushed to destroy oil wells and pipelines, followed by oil refineries and finally the strategic oil storage facilities in Port Sudan. They also targeted power stations and transformers. At the end of that article, I asked: Why is the UAE doing all this now?
The simple answer is that the UAE seeks to destroy Sudan completely by targeting its most vital industries. It also aims to hinder the movement of the regular armed forces toward Darfur by cutting off fuel supplies to the 13 military convoys currently heading west. These are all goals within the broader campaign of revenge—what I call the “Al-Daftardar Campaign”—led by the rulers of Abu Dhabi through their “Bashi-Bazouk” mercenaries.
But in my view, the true objective is to force the Sudanese people into surrender—to create facts on the ground that will pressure the army to go into negotiations from a position of weakness. There, they hope to impose terms, the least of which would be a return to the status quo before April 15, 2023. That would mean reintegrating the Janjaweed and their allies into the political and military arena—just as outlined in the disgraceful and farcical Manama Agreement.
If they succeed in imposing such terms, they would once again control the country’s economic resources and complete the implementation of the Western-Zionist project in Sudan—a project started by former British Ambassador Irfan Siddiq and poorly continued by the UAE’s puppet, Hamdok.
The ultimate goal of this drone campaign is to enforce surrender. That is their dream. But they are deluded. Why?
4.

Because they failed to force surrender even during the darkest times—when the army was besieged in all its bases, its leadership detained in less than a square kilometer, thousands of homes and the entire capital under occupation, and five states beyond government control. At that time, the army lacked weapons, ammunition, and fighters. Yet the UAE, whether through combat or negotiation, couldn’t force surrender.
So how do they expect to succeed now, when their militias have been expelled from five states and are being pursued across the farthest corners of Kordofan and Darfur, with army convoys now knocking on the very doors of their strongholds?
5.

The UAE also failed to force political surrender, despite buying off most leaders of neighboring countries and African organizations during the era of Moussa Faki—may God curse him. They tried again through IGAD’s corrupt president, Ruto, who called for an immediate ceasefire while the militias were still occupying the capital.
Despite spending their dirty money on the worthless remnants of “Taqqadum,” “Samoood,” “Ta’sis,” and all that pitiful lot—cheaper than junk in Dagalo’s markets—they still failed.
6.

The UAE and Britain tried once more through the AU’s expanded mechanism, then through pressure in the UN Security Council, then the Geneva Conference, and finally the London Conference, which collapsed in disgrace when Egypt and Saudi Arabia refused to equate the army with the militias—and when the UAE refused to condemn foreign interference clearly referring to itself.
7.

Again: If the UAE failed to force surrender both militarily and politically when the army and people were at their weakest, how can it succeed now—with a victorious and advancing army, and an awakened and united people?
Their project to impose surrender has failed on all fronts. And how can it now succeed just because drones are targeting energy sources, oil depots, and power stations?
8.

What the drone attacks in Port Sudan truly accomplished is stripping the UAE of the mask it wore while waging its war on Sudan. It has exposed itself as it embarks on a new phase of its aggression.
There is value in this: it revealed the ugly face of UAE rulers waging war on a people who never harmed them—indeed, a people who helped build their nation (betrayal is their hallmark).
The UAE’s assault has also shown the true threat to Arab and regional security. It’s they who are destabilizing the Red Sea by widening the circle of conflict and meddling in African countries, dragging them into wars—from Libya to Somalia, Sudan to the Congo.
9.

Many fear the UAE may try to strike Port Sudan’s port with drones. But in my opinion, that would be foolish. The UAE benefits greatly from the Red Sea through its trade ties with East Africa (notably Djibouti and Berbera), as well as oil commerce. It also has military bases along the Red Sea coast: Mayun near Bab el-Mandeb, Berbera in Somaliland, and Barani in Egypt.
It invests in three Red Sea ports (Aden, Djibouti, Berbera), and the sea provides strategic leverage in the Horn of Africa, supporting maritime security and trade routes.
Any attempt to bomb the ports would threaten regional security and trade, harming the UAE’s own interests and presence. It would also drag other actors into the war.
But what if the UAE, in its current madness, goes ahead and bombs Port Sudan’s port? Are there alternatives for Sudan—and what are the challenges?
10.

Sudan has many alternatives to obtain fuel through the Red Sea, even without strategic depots. It can rely on the Bashayer Port, and also draw on South Sudanese oil, which currently flows under U.S. protection—the UAE would not dare target the Bashayer terminal near Suakin.
Sudan can also use Assab Port in Eritrea. Eritrea, in its noble stance, has been quietly aiding Sudan in unimaginable ways. The Sudanese people will one day learn about the friendly hands that helped them.
Furthermore, Sudan can use its open borders with Chad and Libya to supply oil to military convoys in Darfur and Kordofan.
As for electricity, even if power stations and transformers are hit, Sudanese won’t surrender. They have lived for centuries without electricity—and will continue to live as long as the sun shines, rivers flow beneath them, and rain pours from the heavens.
“And if you should count the favor of Allah, you could not enumerate them. Indeed, Allah is Forgiving and Merciful.” (Qur’an)
And He is Dominant over His affairs.

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